TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Serie A soccer match between US Sassuolo Calcio and Hellas Verona FC scheduled for February 20, 2026. Markets span three outcome categories: win/loss for each team and draw outcomes, with additional spread-based markets on goal differential thresholds.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market resolves YES on full cancellation, while win markets resolve NO on cancellation. Kalshi spread markets do not specify cancellation behavior, creating ambiguity in edge-case resolution.Hero Tip:
If you hold positions across both platforms, note that a full game cancellation triggers opposite outcomes: Polymarket draw YES vs. win NO, while Kalshi spreads have undefined behavior. Request explicit cancellation guidance from Kalshi before market launch. Consider hedging Polymarket draw positions if cancellation risk is material.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three binary markets: Hellas Verona win (YES if Verona wins, NO otherwise), Sassuolo win (YES if Sassuolo wins, NO otherwise), and Draw (YES if draw, NO otherwise). Postponement keeps market open. Full cancellation with no make-up resolves Hellas/Sassuolo wins to NO but Draw to YES. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.Kalshi:
Four spread-based markets: Hellas >2.5 goals, Sassuolo >1.5 goals, Sassuolo >2.5 goals, Hellas >1.5 goals. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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