This event group covers a Serie A soccer match between US Sassuolo Calcio and Bologna FC 1909 scheduled for March 15, 2026. Three binary markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the outcome: Bologna win, Sassuolo win, and draw. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: match outcome determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements (markets remain open) and cancellations (win markets resolve No, draw market resolves Yes).
Primary resolution logic:
Lega Serie A official statistics (https://www.legaseriea.it/); secondary source is consensus of credible reporting if official statistics not published within 2 hours after match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
Match outcome determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties excluded
Bologna win market resolves Yes if Bologna scores more goals than Sassuolo; otherwise No
Sassuolo win market resolves Yes if Sassuolo scores more goals than Bologna; otherwise No
Draw market resolves Yes if both teams score equal goals after 90+stoppage; otherwise No
If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
If match is canceled with no makeup game: Bologna win and Sassuolo win markets resolve No; Draw market resolves Yes
Resolution source is official Lega Serie A statistics; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus is used
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed and the final result is determined.
Cancellation without makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Bologna win and Sassuolo win markets resolve to No; the Draw market resolves to Yes.
Source delay: If Lega Serie A does not publish official statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution uses consensus from credible reporting sources.
Extra time or penalties: Resolution is based only on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; any result determined in extra time or penalty shootout is not considered.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Official Lega Serie A statistics are the primary source; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible consensus reporting is used for immediate resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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