TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 4:07 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Taylor Townsend will advance against Diana Shnaider in their US Open WTA match, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Townsend vs. Shnaider: Match O/U 21.5”. The resolution source for this market is the official WTA Tennis scores website at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the match start time on September 4, 2026, as the outcome will be determined by whether Townsend advances in this scheduled fixture.
This market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Townsend and Diana Shnaider in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Townsend' if Taylor Townsend advances against Diana Shnaider. This market will resolve to 'Diana Shnaider' if Diana Shnaider advances against Taylor Townsend. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, whereas this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Polymarket will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before a large influx of information or as the event draws nearer, providing potential value for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, and is constantly updated based on supply and demand for shares in this market.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Townsend vs Shnaider match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute funds to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament might also affect perceptions of player momentum. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in betting trends or expert analysis, could drive trading activity and impact the odds on Polymarket. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before it resolves.