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404,028

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US Open WTA: Shuai Zhang vs Leylah Fernandez
limitless
polymarket
kalshi

US Open WTA: Shuai Zhang vs Leylah Fernandez

Volume:
$628,625

Leylah Fernandez

 - Kalshi

Leylah Fernandez - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 30, 2026

Closed: Aug 30, 2:45 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Leylah Fernandez

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$313,874
N/A
N/A
$207,396
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open WTA: Shuai Zhang vs Leylah Fernandez Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$187
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open WTA: Shuai Zhang vs Leylah Fernandez Game Spread +/-3.5

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Shuai Zhang

View
0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$233,138
N/A
N/A
$159,319
Settled
No
polymarket

US Open WTA: Shuai Zhang vs Leylah Fernandez

View
0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$80,496
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open WTA: Shuai Zhang vs Leylah Fernandez Set 2 Winner

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$634
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open WTA: Shuai Zhang vs Leylah Fernandez Match O/U 21.5

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$240
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

Zhang Shuai vs Leylah Fernandez: 22 or more total games?

View
N/A
N/A
1.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

US Open WTA: Shuai Zhang vs Leylah Fernandez Total Sets: O/U 2.5

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open WTA: Shuai Zhang vs Leylah Fernandez Set 1 Winner

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open WTA: Shuai Zhang vs Leylah Fernandez Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open WTA: Shuai Zhang vs Leylah Fernandez Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open WTA: Shuai Zhang vs Leylah Fernandez Match O/U 22.5

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open WTA: Shuai Zhang vs Leylah Fernandez Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open WTA: Shuai Zhang vs Leylah Fernandez Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open WTA: Shuai Zhang vs Leylah Fernandez Match O/U 23.5

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open WTA: Shuai Zhang vs Leylah Fernandez Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open WTA: Shuai Zhang vs Leylah Fernandez Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 19

Intro

This market tracks the game spread for the US Open WTA tennis match between Shuai Zhang and Leylah Fernandez, specifically whether Fernandez will win by more than 3.5 games. The aggregated consensus probability for Fernandez (-3.5) is 100%. Data comes from Limitless, Polymarket, and Kalshi, with resolution based on official statistics from the WTA Tour and US Open. Watch for the match conclusion on August 30, 2026, as this will determine the outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use the same core resolution logic based on official WTA/US Open statistics with consistent handling of cancellations, retirements, and incomplete matches.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics from the WTA Tour and US Open

Core resolution logic:

  • Match must be completed through normal play to determine a winner; otherwise most markets resolve 50-50
  • Tiebreaks count as one game toward total game counts
  • Markets resolve based on completed portions of play if outcome is unconditionally determined
  • Cancellation or no result by September 13, 2026 triggers 50-50 resolution unless outcome already determined

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Walkover/Retirement: Resolves 50-50 unless the outcome of the specific market was already unconditionally determined by completed play
  • Match Not Started: Resolves 50-50 for all markets unless specified otherwise
  • Incomplete Match: Resolves based on completed portions if outcome is unconditionally determined; otherwise 50-50
Timing: Resolution occurs when official WTA/US Open statistics are published, no later than September 13, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Shuai Zhang and Leylah Fernandez in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shuai Zhang' if Shuai Zhang advances against Leylah Fernandez. This market will resolve to 'Leylah Fernandez' if Leylah Fernandez advances against Shuai Zhang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes only if the specified player wins the match after at least one ball has been played. If the match does not occur due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or other cancellation before play begins, the market resolves to a fair price. Postponements or delays keep the market open until the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Limitless

This market refers to the tennis match between Zhang Shuai and Leylah Fernandez in the WTA US Open, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 15:00 UTC. This market will resolve to "YES" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the US Open WTA Zhang vs Fernandez match market aggregates activity across multiple venues, showing real-time volume of $628,625 and 24-hour volume of $610,468. It tracks how traders on different platforms price the likelihood of various match outcomes, offering a consensus view of market sentiment through aggregated odds and liquidity metrics.

Injuries, weather delays, or surprising form during early rounds could shift this market significantly. Key moments such as break points, set scores, and crowd reactions may cause rapid price swings. Any update to player status or tournament conditions can reshape trader expectations and move odds dramatically before the match ends.