TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 12:36 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the tennis match between Renata Zarazua and Polina Iatcenko at the US Open WTA will be completed, with the current probability on Polymarket set at 100.0%. The outcome will be resolved according to official results posted on https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. The match is scheduled to conclude by September 6, 2026, and any developments up to that date will determine the final result.
This market refers to the tennis match between Renata Zarazua and Polina Iatcenko in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Renata Zarazua' if Renata Zarazua advances against Polina Iatcenko. This market will resolve to 'Polina Iatcenko' if Polina Iatcenko advances against Renata Zarazua. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often differ due to unique betting dynamics and liquidity conditions. Traders may price in factors beyond standard sportsbook models, such as recent form or head-to-head history, leading to variations in implied probabilities. The volume of $321,549 can amplify these differences, especially as the event nears. Sportsbook odds typically incorporate broader market data and broader participant pools, which can cause divergence from the decentralized view in this market.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official match conclusion, and traders can expect the market to close promptly after the final point is decided.
Key signals include player injuries, recent match performances, and changes in tournament conditions. Weather updates or court surface reports may also shift expectations. As Sep 6, 2026 approaches, betting patterns on Polymarket will react to any news impacting either competitor’s readiness or form. The 24-hour volume of $321,221 often spikes around these developments, reflecting real-time adjustments. Traders should monitor official tournament announcements and practice session results for potential market movement.