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406,019
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Closed: Sep 3, 9:47 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Paula Badosa will advance against Coco Gauff in their US Open WTA match, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Badosa vs. Gauff: Match O/U 21.5”. Resolution will be based on the official results reported at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the outcome will be determined by the result of the fixture on September 3, 2026.
This market refers to the tennis match between Paula Badosa and Coco Gauff in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Paula Badosa' if Paula Badosa advances against Coco Gauff. This market will resolve to 'Coco Gauff' if Coco Gauff advances against Paula Badosa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks, potentially offering an edge to those who follow them closely.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential result of the Badosa vs Gauff match.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Badosa vs Gauff match as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 10, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in expert analysis could all cause traders to reassess their positions. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the Badosa vs Gauff match could also affect perceptions of player form and confidence. Major upsets or particularly dominant performances by either player in earlier rounds would likely lead to significant movement in this market.