TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 4:58 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Iga Swiatek will advance against Marie Bouzkova in their US Open WTA match, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to Iga Swiatek winning the match. The resolution source for this market is the official WTA Tennis scores page at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the match start time of September 4, 2026, as the outcome will be determined by whether Iga Swiatek advances in this scheduled fixture.
This market refers to the tennis match between Iga Swiatek and Marie Bouzkova in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Iga Swiatek' if Iga Swiatek advances against Marie Bouzkova. This market will resolve to 'Marie Bouzkova' if Marie Bouzkova advances against Iga Swiatek. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and risk management into their pricing, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply variations in opinion. It's common to see prediction markets offer a more accurate forecast, especially when a significant amount of volume is traded, as they aggregate a wider range of perspectives on the Swiatek vs Bouzkova match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Swiatek vs Bouzkova match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Swiatek vs Bouzkova match as declared by the official tournament organizers. The market will determine which player ultimately wins the match, and that result will be used to settle all outstanding shares. The platform will verify the outcome against widely available and reliable sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process for this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market before Sep 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match analyses from tennis experts could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even comments from the players themselves, might also shift probabilities. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket could create short-term price fluctuations, reflecting a change in perceived advantage for either Swiatek or Bouzkova in this match.