TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 1:32 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Aryna Sabalenka will advance against Taylor Townsend in their US Open WTA match, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. Currently, Polymarket assigns a 100.0% probability to “Sabalenka vs. Townsend: Match O/U 23.5”. The resolution source for this market is the official WTA Tennis scores website at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the match start time on September 6, 2026, as the outcome will be determined by whether Sabalenka advances in this scheduled fixture.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Taylor Townsend in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Taylor Townsend. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Townsend' if Taylor Townsend advances against Aryna Sabalenka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment changes. Analyzing these differences can offer insights into where the crowd believes the value lies, potentially identifying advantageous betting opportunities or simply a different perspective on the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the WTA US Open match between Aryna Sabalenka and Taylor Townsend, as reported by official tournament sources. The market will determine which player won the match, and the outcome will be settled accordingly. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to the match. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even shifts in public perception could cause significant price movements. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or strong performances from either player in practice sessions, might also impact trading activity. Furthermore, major announcements about coaching changes or strategic adjustments could also shift the odds as traders react to the evolving landscape of the Sabalenka vs Townsend match.