TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 2:35 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Aryna Sabalenka will advance against Linda Noskova in their US Open WTA match, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Sabalenka vs. Noskova: Match O/U 22.5”. The resolution source for this market is the official WTA Tennis scores website at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the match start time on September 8, 2026, as this will initiate the event window for resolution.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Linda Noskova in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Linda Noskova. This market will resolve to 'Linda Noskova' if Linda Noskova advances against Aryna Sabalenka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be insightful, as both sources attempt to forecast the same outcome – the result of the Sabalenka vs Noskova match.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the WTA US Open match between Aryna Sabalenka and Linda Noskova. This includes confirmation of the winner and completion of the match according to official tournament rules. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute funds accordingly.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public perception could trigger movement. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the US Open, affecting player confidence or form, could also play a role. Furthermore, major upsets in other matches within the tournament might impact the perceived likelihood of either player winning the Sabalenka vs Noskova match, leading to adjustments in the share prices on Polymarket.