TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 9:07 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Aryna Sabalenka will advance against Jessica Pegula in their US Open WTA match, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “US Open WTA: Completed Match: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula”. The resolution source for this market is the official WTA Tennis scores website at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the match outcome itself, as this market will resolve based on the result of the match scheduled for September 10, 2026.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Pegula in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Jessica Pegula. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Pegula' if Jessica Pegula advances against Aryna Sabalenka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and profit margins, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated accuracy in forecasting event outcomes, sometimes outperforming traditional polls and analysts. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public perception shifts leading up to the match.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the US Open WTA match between Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Pegula. The platform will verify the result against widely available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final market prices at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before Sep 17, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant performance updates in preceding matches could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament might also affect perceptions of player form and confidence. Furthermore, expert analysis and public commentary could sway opinions, leading to increased trading volume and price adjustments in this market. Major shifts in betting odds from sportsbooks could also trigger movement.