TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 11:25 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Anna Kalinskaya will win her match against Emma Navarro in the US Open WTA tournament. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to the outcome of “US Open WTA: Completed Match: Anna Kalinskaya vs Emma Navarro”, while the “Game Spread: Kalinskaya (-0.5) vs Navarro (+0.5)” outcome is at 0.5%. The resolution source for this market is the official WTA Tennis scores website at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the originally scheduled match time of September 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET, as this is when the event will begin and provide the first signal for resolution.
This market refers to the tennis match between Anna Kalinskaya and Emma Navarro in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anna Kalinskaya' if Anna Kalinskaya advances against Emma Navarro. This market will resolve to 'Emma Navarro' if Emma Navarro advances against Anna Kalinskaya. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess the probability of an outcome. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities, particularly when there's strong public sentiment or information asymmetry. It’s common to see this market converge with sportsbook odds as the event approaches and more information becomes available, but discrepancies can present opportunities for informed traders.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Kalinskaya vs Navarro match as declared by the official tournament organizers. The market will determine whether Anna Kalinskaya or Emma Navarro is the victor, based on the official match result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on their holdings in the winning outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Unexpected results in earlier matches of the US Open could also impact perceptions of player form and confidence. Furthermore, expert analysis and updated betting odds from sportsbooks can sometimes trigger movement in this market as traders react to new information and adjust their positions.