TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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U.s. Open: Round 2 Top 10 Finishers
kalshi

U.s. Open: Round 2 Top 10 Finishers

Volume:
$26,482

Wyndham Clark

 - Kalshi

Wyndham Clark - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 20, 2026

Closed: Jun 19, 9:10 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Wyndham Clark

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$943
N/A
N/A
$678
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sam Burns

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$911
N/A
N/A
$899
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tom Kim

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$701
N/A
N/A
$701
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Collin Morikawa

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$628
N/A
N/A
$600
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Justin Thomas

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$540
N/A
N/A
$510
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Xander Schauffele

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$524
N/A
N/A
$524
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Matt Fitzpatrick

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$497
N/A
N/A
$452
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Harry Higgs

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$423
N/A
N/A
$408
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sahith Theegala

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$337
N/A
N/A
$334
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sam Stevens

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$335
N/A
N/A
$335
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Scottie Scheffler

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,398
N/A
N/A
$2,966
Settled
No
kalshi

Kristoffer Reitan

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,497
N/A
N/A
$2,483
Settled
No
kalshi

Max McGreevy

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,898
N/A
N/A
$1,890
Settled
No
kalshi

Tommy Fleetwood

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,816
N/A
N/A
$1,661
Settled
No
kalshi

Justin Rose

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,500
N/A
N/A
$1,500
Settled
No
kalshi

Ludvig Aberg

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,469
N/A
N/A
$1,310
Settled
No
kalshi

Rory McIlroy

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,301
N/A
N/A
$1,239
Settled
No
kalshi

Brian Harman

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,008
N/A
N/A
$984
Settled
No
kalshi

Jackson Koivun

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$609
N/A
N/A
$604
Settled
No
kalshi

Aaron Rai

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$495
N/A
N/A
$488
Settled
No
kalshi

Maverick McNealy

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$478
N/A
N/A
$478
Settled
No
kalshi

Benjamin James

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$444
N/A
N/A
$385
Settled
No
kalshi

Alex Fitzpatrick

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$442
N/A
N/A
$424
Settled
No
kalshi

Cameron Young

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$412
N/A
N/A
$402
Settled
No
kalshi

Akshay Bhatia

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$395
N/A
N/A
$369
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 157

Intro

This market on Kalshi tracks whether Aaron Rai will finish in the top 10 positions after the first two rounds of the 2026 U.S. Open golf tournament. The leading outcome currently stands at 80.0% probability on Kalshi, with resolution determined by official U.S. Open scoring records. Rai's performance through 36 holes will be the decisive factor, as the market resolves based on whether he places within the top 10 finishers including any ties after Round 2 concludes on June 19, 2026.

Kalshi

This event comprises 150 separate markets, each tracking whether a specific professional golfer finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first two rounds of the 2026 U.S. Open. Each market resolves Yes if that golfer achieves a top-10 finish after two rounds. If a golfer forfeits, withdraws, or does not participate prior to teeing off, their market resolves to Fair Market Price. If a golfer forfeits, withdraws, or does not participate after teeing off, their market resolves to No. Multiple markets may resolve Yes if multiple golfers finish in the top 10. The event is not affiliated with or endorsed by the PGA.

Frequently asked questions

The U.S. Open: Round 2 Top 10 Finishers dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and trading activity for individual golfer outcomes in this major championship event. It displays the current implied probability that each player will finish in the top 10 during Round 2, along with historical price movements and 24-hour trading volume. The dashboard aggregates all contracts related to this specific tournament round, allowing traders to monitor how market sentiment shifts as new information emerges. With total group volume of $26,482, this market reflects active trader interest in predicting Round 2 performance.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time trader consensus rather than bookmaker pricing models. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance liability and profit margin, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized participant beliefs. For the U.S. Open Round 2 top 10 finishers, Kalshi odds may move faster in response to player performance, injury reports, or course conditions. Comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers, though both sources aim to price the same underlying outcome.

The U.S. Open: Round 2 Top 10 Finishers market resolves on Jun 19, 2026, after Round 2 concludes and official results are confirmed. The outcome for each golfer contract is determined by whether that player finishes in the top 10 of the Round 2 leaderboard. Contracts for players who achieve a top 10 finish resolve to 100 cents, while those who miss the cut or finish outside the top 10 resolve to 0 cents. Resolution occurs once the tournament administrator publishes final standings and Kalshi confirms the data against official sources.

Several catalysts can shift odds for U.S. Open Round 2 top 10 finishers before market resolution. Round 1 performance is the primary driver: strong opening rounds increase a player's top 10 probability, while missed cuts or poor scores reduce it. Course conditions, weather changes, and pin placements during Round 2 itself will influence real-time trading. Injury announcements or withdrawal news can eliminate or boost specific players instantly. Betting action from sharp traders responding to leaderboard updates will create price momentum. Media coverage highlighting contenders or dark horses may also sway retail trader participation and shift implied probabilities throughout the event window.