U.S. Open: Round 2 Scores

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they serve distinct audiences. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, incorporating a built-in margin. Prediction markets like this one rely on trader consensus—prices reflect what participants actually believe will happen, with no house edge. This market's odds can diverge from sportsbook lines because traders may have unique information or different risk appetites. Comparing the two can reveal where public opinion on Round 2 scoring differs from professional oddsmakers' assessments.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers in real time. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the most recent trade and the current spread between buy and sell orders. As new information emerges—player performance updates, course conditions, or injury reports—traders adjust their positions, moving the market price. Deeper liquidity typically narrows spreads and makes prices more stable, while thin trading can increase volatility around key moments.

This market resolves around Jun 22, 2026, once Round 2 of the U.S. Open concludes and scores are finalized. The outcome is confirmed when verified against credible public sources covering the tournament. Until that point, prices will fluctuate based on live leaderboard updates, player performance, and trader positioning. After resolution, all positions settle according to the verified final results, and traders receive payouts based on their correct predictions.

Several factors can shift prices significantly before this market closes. Live scoring updates throughout Round 2 will trigger immediate repricing as leaders emerge and contenders fall back. Weather changes on the course—wind, rain, or temperature swings—can alter difficulty and player performance expectations. Injury announcements or unexpected withdrawals reshape the competitive landscape. Media coverage highlighting standout performances or dramatic moments also influences trader sentiment. Late-round momentum, particularly from top-ranked players, typically generates the most volatile price movements as the tournament outcome becomes clearer.