TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
U.s. Open: Round 1 Top 10 Finishers
kalshi

U.s. Open: Round 1 Top 10 Finishers

Volume:
$96,819

Rory McIlroy

 - Kalshi

Rory McIlroy - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 19, 2026

Closed: Jun 19, 9:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Rory McIlroy

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,167
N/A
N/A
$6,857
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sam Stevens

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,869
N/A
N/A
$3,869
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ryder Cowan

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,076
N/A
N/A
$3,076
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jon Rahm

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,333
N/A
N/A
$2,132
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Matt Fitzpatrick

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,297
N/A
N/A
$2,190
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Benjamin James

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,833
N/A
N/A
$1,149
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ludvig Aberg

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,625
N/A
N/A
$1,557
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dustin Johnson

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$996
N/A
N/A
$993
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Brian Harman

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$960
N/A
N/A
$960
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Max Greyserman

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$825
N/A
N/A
$825
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Spencer Tibbits

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$590
N/A
N/A
$590
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Gary Woodland

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$430
N/A
N/A
$430
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Wyndham Clark

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$237
N/A
N/A
$211
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Max McGreevy

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$225
N/A
N/A
$225
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Corey Conners

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$126
N/A
N/A
$126
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Angel Hidalgo

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Scottie Scheffler

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,491
N/A
N/A
$13,238
Settled
No
kalshi

Tommy Fleetwood

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,090
N/A
N/A
$4,775
Settled
No
kalshi

Patrick Reed

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,201
N/A
N/A
$4,201
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Gotterup

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,469
N/A
N/A
$3,469
Settled
No
kalshi

Cameron Smith

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,928
N/A
N/A
$2,918
Settled
No
kalshi

Bryson DeChambeau

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,760
N/A
N/A
$2,683
Settled
No
kalshi

Cameron Young

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,355
N/A
N/A
$2,091
Settled
No
kalshi

Kevin Roy

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,297
N/A
N/A
$2,297
Settled
No
kalshi

Xander Schauffele

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,279
N/A
N/A
$2,145
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 157

Intro

This market tracks whether a golfer will place in the top 10 after the opening round of the 2026 U.S. Open. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 80.0%. Resolution will be determined by official U.S. Open scoring as reported by the tournament organizers. Watch for the completion of Round 1 play on June 18, 2026, when final leaderboard positions will be confirmed and the market will settle.

Kalshi

Each golfer's market resolves Yes if they finish in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 U.S. Open. If a golfer forfeits, withdraws, or doesn't participate prior to teeing off, the market resolves to Fair Market Price. If they withdraw or forfeit after teeing off, the market resolves to No.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than fixed bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds to balance liability, while prediction markets price outcomes based on continuous supply and demand from participants. For U.S. Open Round 1 top-10 finisher contracts, prediction market prices may move faster in response to late-breaking news like weather changes or player withdrawals. Comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal value opportunities, though prediction market liquidity and sportsbook depth vary by player.

The U.S. Open: Round 1 Top 10 Finishers market resolves on Jun 18, 2026, after Round 1 play concludes and official leaderboards are finalized. Resolution is determined by the official PGA Tour and U.S. Golf Association scoring records for Round 1. Each contract settles to 100 cents if the named golfer finishes in the top 10 of the Round 1 leaderboard, or 0 cents if they finish outside the top 10 or do not complete the round. Ties are resolved according to standard tournament tiebreaker rules, and any player who withdraws before completing Round 1 settles to 0 cents.

Several catalysts can shift U.S. Open Round 1 top-10 finisher odds before Jun 18, 2026. Player injuries or late withdrawals immediately reduce a golfer's top-10 probability to near zero. Course setup changes, such as pin placements or rough conditioning announced during practice rounds, affect perceived difficulty and player-specific edge. Weather forecasts—wind speed, temperature, rain—influence which playing styles and course-management skills favor certain competitors. Recent tournament results and player form updates shift market expectations of Round 1 performance. Equipment or swing changes disclosed by top contenders can trigger repricing. Finally, betting volume spikes often correlate with media coverage or odds movement on related markets, creating momentum-driven price swings.