TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 25, 8:51 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yue Yuan and Hanyu Guo in the US Open, Qualification WTA, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yue Yuan' if Yue Yuan advances against Hanyu Guo. This market will resolve to 'Hanyu Guo' if Hanyu Guo advances against Yue Yuan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yue Yuan and Hanyu Guo in the US Open, Qualification WTA, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yue Yuan' if Yue Yuan advances against Hanyu Guo. This market will resolve to 'Hanyu Guo' if Hanyu Guo advances against Yue Yuan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect sharper, more granular insights because they are driven by continuous trader activity rather than static lines. While sportsbooks may set broader spreads, this market allows for tighter, more responsive pricing that can shift rapidly with new information, news, or performance updates from the players. Traders should watch for divergence between the two, as it can signal shifts in sentiment or value opportunities.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a decentralized betting pool where traders buy and sell contracts representing each outcome. The current top outcome probability displayed reflects the collective assessment of all participants, updated in real time as new bets are placed. Volume and recent trade activity heavily influence price movements, so sharp shifts in betting patterns can quickly alter the market’s implied odds.
This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official match conclusion, and the platform will update the market status accordingly. No further analysis or interpretation is needed beyond confirming the winner from trusted sports news and tournament records.
Injuries, player form updates, weather conditions, or last-minute tournament changes could all shift this market. Media reports, practice session performances, and betting volume spikes are also key indicators. Traders should monitor official tournament announcements and real-time sports news feeds, as any development affecting either player’s readiness or likelihood of advancement may cause rapid price adjustments on Polymarket before resolution.