TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 26, 2:02 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Luka Pavlovic in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Luka Pavlovic. This market will resolve to 'Luka Pavlovic' if Luka Pavlovic advances against Jacob Fearnley. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Luka Pavlovic in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Luka Pavlovic. This market will resolve to 'Luka Pavlovic' if Luka Pavlovic advances against Jacob Fearnley. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through continuous trading where users buy and sell shares representing either outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top outcome holds a dominant implied probability, shaped by recent trading volume and trader sentiment. As the match approaches, any shifts in perceived player form, injury updates, or weather conditions can cause rapid price adjustments. Volume of $145,150 provides insight into market activity and confidence levels among participants.
This market resolves around Sep 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will reflect the official match outcome as reported by tennis associations and widely covered sports news outlets. No additional interpretation or platform-specific rules are needed — the market settles based on the match’s final, official result, ensuring transparency and alignment with real-world events.