TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 26, 1:33 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Rincon and Jordan Lee in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Rincon' if Daniel Rincon advances against Jordan Lee. This market will resolve to 'Jordan Lee' if Jordan Lee advances against Daniel Rincon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Rincon and Jordan Lee in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Rincon' if Daniel Rincon advances against Jordan Lee. This market will resolve to 'Jordan Lee' if Jordan Lee advances against Daniel Rincon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader-driven pricing and liquidity conditions. While sportsbooks may set their odds based on broader analytics and risk management, prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes, which can lead to sharper or more volatile prices. Traders on Polymarket set probabilities that reflect recent performance data, injury updates, and other factors influencing the match, potentially creating divergences from sportsbook consensus.
This market resolves around Sep 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, reflecting which player advances from the qualification round, and the platform will update the market accordingly based on confirmed scores and tournament progress.
Injuries, changes in player form, or weather delays could shift this market as the match nears. Media updates, practice session reports, and betting trends on Polymarket may also cause price swings, especially if one competitor gains or loses momentum in the days leading up to the qualifier. Any last-minute news affecting either player’s readiness can reshape trader sentiment rapidly.