TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 2:11 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Raffaele Ciurnelli and Jordan Lee in the US Open Juniors, Boys, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raffaele Ciurnelli' if Raffaele Ciurnelli advances against Jordan Lee. This market will resolve to 'Jordan Lee' if Jordan Lee advances against Raffaele Ciurnelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Raffaele Ciurnelli and Jordan Lee in the US Open Juniors, Boys, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raffaele Ciurnelli' if Raffaele Ciurnelli advances against Jordan Lee. This market will resolve to 'Jordan Lee' if Jordan Lee advances against Raffaele Ciurnelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome, and the price of these shares reflects the implied probability. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to represent the collective forecast. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with higher demand for a particular outcome pushing its price up and increasing its implied probability. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information available to traders.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the US Open Juniors Boys match between Raffaele Ciurnelli and Jordan Lee. The platform will verify the winning player against official tournament results and reporting. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or strong performances by either player in practice matches, may also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading volume will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.