TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 12:58 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kirill Filaretov and Kamil Stolarczyk in the US Open Juniors, Boys, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kirill Filaretov' if Kirill Filaretov advances against Kamil Stolarczyk. This market will resolve to 'Kamil Stolarczyk' if Kamil Stolarczyk advances against Kirill Filaretov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kirill Filaretov and Kamil Stolarczyk in the US Open Juniors, Boys, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kirill Filaretov' if Kirill Filaretov advances against Kamil Stolarczyk. This market will resolve to 'Kamil Stolarczyk' if Kamil Stolarczyk advances against Kirill Filaretov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price will fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the match’s potential results. The market’s efficiency relies on informed traders and active participation to accurately reflect the true probabilities.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the US Open Juniors Boys match, determining which player emerged victorious. The platform will verify the result against widely available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning player will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing player will not.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance would likely cause price movements. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament could also shift expectations and affect the odds. Furthermore, analysis from tennis experts and public sentiment expressed on social media could contribute to changes in trader behavior, impacting the price of shares in this market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the probabilities.