TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 1:07 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kanta Watanabe and Jamie Mackenzie in the US Open Juniors, Boys, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kanta Watanabe' if Kanta Watanabe advances against Jamie Mackenzie. This market will resolve to 'Jamie Mackenzie' if Jamie Mackenzie advances against Kanta Watanabe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kanta Watanabe and Jamie Mackenzie in the US Open Juniors, Boys, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kanta Watanabe' if Kanta Watanabe advances against Jamie Mackenzie. This market will resolve to 'Jamie Mackenzie' if Jamie Mackenzie advances against Kanta Watanabe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own research and insights. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those seen here, it might indicate differing opinions on the likely winner of the match. It's important to remember that prediction markets offer a unique perspective, aggregating the views of many participants.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of traders regarding the chances of each player winning. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price will adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the US Open Juniors Boys match between Kanta Watanabe and Jamie Mackenzie. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on the official tournament results, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Performance in preceding matches or tournaments could also impact the perceived likelihood of each player winning. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament might also cause traders to reassess their positions. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact is key to understanding how this market might evolve.