TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 4:56 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kai Thompson and Dante Pagani in the US Open Juniors, Boys, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kai Thompson' if Kai Thompson advances against Dante Pagani. This market will resolve to 'Dante Pagani' if Dante Pagani advances against Kai Thompson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kai Thompson and Dante Pagani in the US Open Juniors, Boys, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kai Thompson' if Kai Thompson advances against Dante Pagani. This market will resolve to 'Dante Pagani' if Dante Pagani advances against Kai Thompson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and may incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows traders to adjust probabilities based on new information and their own insights. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity. It’s common to see this market converge with sportsbook odds as the event approaches, but divergences can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand, with traders setting the odds based on their individual assessments of the players’ chances of winning the US Open Juniors Boys match.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the US Open Juniors Boys match between Kai Thompson and Dante Pagani as declared by the tournament organizers. The player who wins the match will be the determined outcome for this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament might also affect perceptions of each player’s overall strength. Additionally, expert analysis or public opinion shifts, even those outside of formal betting markets, can impact trading volume and price movements as traders react to new information before this market’s resolution.