TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
U.S. Open: Eagle in Round 1
kalshi

U.S. Open: Eagle in Round 1

Volume:
$17,138

Rory McIlroy

 - Kalshi

Rory McIlroy - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 19, 2026

Closed: Jun 18, 2:20 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Rory McIlroy

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,966
N/A
N/A
$1,785
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Keith Mitchell

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$425
N/A
N/A
$425
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Wyndham Clark

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$260
N/A
N/A
$260
Settled
Yes
kalshi

John Keefer

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Scottie Scheffler

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,190
N/A
N/A
$2,190
Settled
No
kalshi

Joaquin Niemann

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,723
N/A
N/A
$1,723
Settled
No
kalshi

Bryson DeChambeau

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,678
N/A
N/A
$1,531
Settled
No
kalshi

Cameron Smith

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,368
N/A
N/A
$1,368
Settled
No
kalshi

Cameron Young

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,326
N/A
N/A
$1,326
Settled
No
kalshi

Justin Thomas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,217
N/A
N/A
$1,217
Settled
No
kalshi

Brooks Koepka

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,038
N/A
N/A
$1,038
Settled
No
kalshi

Jon Rahm

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,001
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
No
kalshi

Miles Russell

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$998
N/A
N/A
$998
Settled
No
kalshi

Si Woo Kim

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$301
N/A
N/A
$301
Settled
No
kalshi

Sahith Theegala

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$275
N/A
N/A
$275
Settled
No
kalshi

Xander Schauffele

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$235
N/A
N/A
$235
Settled
No
kalshi

Carlos Ortiz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$176
N/A
N/A
$176
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Gotterup

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$150
N/A
N/A
$150
Settled
No
kalshi

Ludvig Aberg

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$125
N/A
N/A
$125
Settled
No
kalshi

Jason Day

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$117
N/A
N/A
$117
Settled
No
kalshi

Jake Knapp

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
No
kalshi

Hideki Matsuyama

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
kalshi

Kaito Onishi

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
kalshi

Maverick McNealy

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$74
N/A
N/A
$74
Settled
No
kalshi

Tommy Fleetwood

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$70
N/A
N/A
$70
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 156

Description

These markets track whether specific professional golfers will record an eagle (two strokes under par on a single hole) during the first round of the 2026 U.S. Open golf tournament. An eagle is a relatively rare achievement in professional golf, requiring an exceptional shot or series of shots on a given hole.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes if the designated golfer records an eagle at any point during Round 1 of the 2026 U.S. Open. An eagle is defined as completing a hole in two strokes under the hole's par. Resolution is based on official PGA scoring records for the tournament. If a golfer does not record an eagle during Round 1, their corresponding market resolves to No. These markets are independent; a Yes resolution for one golfer does not affect the outcome of markets for other golfers. Multiple golfers may record eagles in Round 1, potentially resulting in Yes resolutions across multiple markets simultaneously.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the U.S. Open Round 1 eagle market dashboard displays real-time odds and historical price movements for whether an eagle will occur during the first round of the tournament. The interface shows current market pricing, 24-hour trading volume, and cumulative liquidity, allowing traders to monitor how sentiment shifts as the event approaches. This dashboard helps participants track the collective forecast of prediction market participants and compare intraday momentum against longer-term trends in the U.S. Open Round 1 eagle market.

Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market aggregates real-money forecasts from diverse participants, which can reveal signals that traditional sportsbooks lag in pricing. Comparing the two venues highlights where consensus is strongest and where contrarian opportunities may exist.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective probability estimate of all active participants. As new information emerges or trader sentiment shifts, bids and asks adjust in real time, and the last traded price becomes the market's current odds. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how quickly prices respond to new developments.

This market resolves around Jul 5, 2026, once the first round of the U.S. Open concludes and outcomes are verifiable from credible public sources. The resolution hinges on whether at least one eagle is recorded during Round 1 play. Official tournament scoring and leaderboard data serve as the reference point for determining the final outcome. Traders should monitor official U.S. Open communications and live scoring feeds as the event date approaches.

Key catalysts include weather forecasts and course conditions, which directly affect scoring difficulty and eagle probability. Announcements regarding player field composition, course setup changes, or pin placements can shift expectations. Real-time scoring updates during Round 1 will drive sharp price movements as traders react to live play. Additionally, historical eagle frequency data from recent U.S. Open tournaments and pre-tournament player form reports may influence early positioning in this market.