TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 10:40 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yunchaokete Bu and Michael Zheng in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yunchaokete Bu' if Yunchaokete Bu advances against Michael Zheng. This market will resolve to 'Michael Zheng' if Michael Zheng advances against Yunchaokete Bu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yunchaokete Bu and Michael Zheng in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yunchaokete Bu' if Yunchaokete Bu advances against Michael Zheng. This market will resolve to 'Michael Zheng' if Michael Zheng advances against Yunchaokete Bu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it may indicate an opportunity for arbitrage – where you can profit by betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both types of odds represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of the expected outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly updating as new information becomes available. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are always responsive to the latest developments and insights.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. The market will then settle, and traders will receive payouts based on the final result and their positions in the market. It’s important to monitor the official sources as the match progresses to understand how the outcome is likely to be determined.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could cause the odds to move. Unexpected performance in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even comments from analysts, can also impact trader sentiment. A strong showing by either player in their previous match would likely increase their chances in this market. Monitoring tennis news and social media for updates on both Yunchaokete Bu and Michael Zheng will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.