TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 5:23 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the combined games in the US Open ATP match between Toby Samuel and Tomas Machac will exceed 38.5 games on Polymarket, using ATP Tour official results as the resolution source. The current probability for the leading outcome, exceeding 38.5 games, is 100%. The match is originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET, serving as the key catalyst to watch for resolution.
This market refers to the tennis match between Toby Samuel and Tomas Machac in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Toby Samuel' if Toby Samuel advances against Tomas Machac. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Toby Samuel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and the platform will update the market accordingly based on confirmed scores from accepted sources.
Injuries, recent match forms, or weather updates can shift this market as the event nears. Media commentary, betting trends, and practice session reports may also influence trader sentiment. Any last-minute changes to player availability or court conditions could cause rapid price swings, especially with volume of $491,615 indicating active trading days.