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US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Darwin Blanch
kalshi
polymarket
limitless

US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Darwin Blanch

Volume:
$4,661,709

Taylor Fritz

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 1, 2026

Closed: Sep 1, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Taylor Fritz

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$1,399,904
N/A
N/A
$1,217,031
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Darwin Blanch

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$433,892
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Darwin Blanch Set Handicap +/-2.5

100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,125
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Darwin Blanch Set 1 Winner

100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,123
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Darwin Blanch Game Spread +/-7.5

100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,607
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Darwin Blanch Set 4 Winner

50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
$503
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Darwin Blanch

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$2,816,093
N/A
N/A
$1,734,999
Settled
No
polymarket

US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Darwin Blanch Total Sets: O/U 3.5

0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$462
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Darwin Blanch Set 2 O/U 8.5

0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Darwin Blanch Set 2 Winner

100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Darwin Blanch Match O/U 36.5

0%
73%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

Taylor Fritz vs Darwin Blanch: 37 or more total games?

N/A
N/A
1.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Darwin Blanch Set 1 O/U 8.5

100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Darwin Blanch Set Handicap +/-1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Darwin Blanch Set 2 O/U 9.5

0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Darwin Blanch Total Sets: O/U 4.5

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Darwin Blanch Match O/U 38.5

0%
74%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Darwin Blanch Set 3 Winner

100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Darwin Blanch Set 1 O/U 9.5

0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Darwin Blanch Set 2 O/U 10.5

0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Darwin Blanch Match O/U 40.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Darwin Blanch Set 1 O/U 10.5

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Darwin Blanch Set 3 O/U 8.5

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Darwin Blanch Set 3 O/U 9.5

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 29

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of over/under 9.5 games being played in the third set of the US Open ATP match between Taylor Fritz and Darwin Blanch. Currently, the consensus probability of “Fritz vs. Blanch: Set 3 Games O/U 9.5” is 100.0%. This aggregate view combines data from Kalshi, Polymarket, and Limitless, and will resolve based on official Grand Slam match statistics from the US Open. This group of markets covers match outcomes, set winners, game totals, and various over/under thresholds. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for August 30, 2026, as the outcome of the first two sets will heavily influence play in the third.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across platforms share consistent resolution logic based on official Grand Slam statistics, with clear rules for incomplete matches, cancellations, and tiebreak counting.Primary resolution logic: Official ATP Tour and US Open statistics

Core resolution logic:

  • A match is resolved only when all required games and sets to determine a winner have been played through normal play
  • Cancellations, walkovers, retirements, or incomplete matches generally result in 50-50 resolutions unless the outcome is already unconditionally determined
  • Tiebreaks count as one game toward totals in all over/under markets
  • Markets with set-specific outcomes resolve 50-50 if the relevant set is not completed

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Incomplete Match with Determined Outcome: If play stops but the outcome would have been guaranteed had the match been completed (e.g., lead of 7.5+ games), the market resolves accordingly instead of 50-50
  • Match Not Completed by Deadline: If the match is not completed by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all markets resolve 50-50 unless already determined
  • Tiebreak Counting: All tiebreaks count as one game toward total game counts in over/under markets
Timing: Resolution occurs when official ATP Tour and US Open statistics confirm the match result, typically within 24-48 hours of match completionOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Fritz and Darwin Blanch in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Darwin Blanch. This market will resolve to 'Darwin Blanch' if Darwin Blanch advances against Taylor Fritz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the professional tennis match between Taylor Fritz and Darwin Blanch at the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round of 128, contingent upon the match actually commencing with a ball being played. If the match does not start—whether due to player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation before play begins—the market resolves to a fair price. Should the match be postponed or delayed, it remains open until the rescheduled match concludes, with a closing deadline of two weeks after the new date’s final result. The market is unaffiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Limitless

This market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Fritz and Darwin Blanch in the ATP US Open, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 15:00 UTC. This market will resolve to "YES" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 37. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the US Open Fritz vs Blanch match market aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how traders price the chances of each outcome. It displays total volume of $4,661,709 and 24-hour volume of $4,596,509, letting you see where consensus lies and how sentiment shifts over time.