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US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech
kalshi
polymarket

US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech

Volume:
$3,206,754

Arthur Rinderknech

 - Kalshi

Arthur Rinderknech - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 30, 2026

Closed: Aug 30, 2:11 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Arthur Rinderknech

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$1,161,845
N/A
N/A
$564,735
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,062
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$233
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Game Spread +/-3.5

View
100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$180
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 36.5

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
$136
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 38.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
$119
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Total Sets: O/U 3.5

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sho Shimabukuro

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$1,635,440
N/A
N/A
$524,650
Settled
No
polymarket

US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$400,728
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 2 Winner

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,445
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 3 Winner

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$425
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set Handicap +/-2.5

View
0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$68
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 4 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Total Sets: O/U 4.5

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 40.5

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 3 O/U 8.5

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 3 O/U 9.5

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 3 O/U 10.5

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 28

Intro

This market tracks the set handicap outcome between Arthur Rinderknech and Sho Shimabukuro at the US Open ATP tennis tournament, with Rinderknech (-1.5) currently favored at 100.0%. Data is aggregated from Kalshi and Polymarket, and will resolve based on official Grand Slam statistics from the ATP Tour. Watch for the match window ending on August 30, 2026, as this will determine the final results used for settlement.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use official Grand Slam statistics as the primary resolution source, with consistent handling of incomplete matches, cancellations, and tiebreakers.Primary resolution logic: Official Grand Slam statistics (ATP Tour)

Core resolution logic:

  • Match must be completed for most markets; incomplete or canceled matches resolve as 50-50 unless outcome is already determined
  • Tiebreakers count as one game toward totals
  • Set and match winners are determined by completed sets only
  • Handicaps are calculated based on final completed score

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match not completed by September 13, 2026: All markets resolve to 50-50 unless outcome is already determined
  • Walkover or retirement before match start: Markets resolve to 50-50
  • Tiebreak games: Count as one game toward totals
Timing: Resolution occurs when official Grand Slam statistics are published, with credible reporting used if delayedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Arthur Rinderknech in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sho Shimabukuro' if Sho Shimabukuro advances against Arthur Rinderknech. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Rinderknech' if Arthur Rinderknech advances against Sho Shimabukuro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Sho Shimabukuro wins the Shimabukuro vs Rinderknech professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arthur Rinderknech wins the Shimabukuro vs Rinderknech professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.