TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 10:20 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether a total of over 9.5 games will be played in the fourth set of the Rei Sakamoto versus Frances Tiafoe match at the US Open ATP tournament. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Sakamoto vs. Tiafoe: Set 4 Games O/U 9.5”. The resolution source for this market is the official ATP Tour website at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the match itself, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET, as the outcome will depend on the number of games played in the fourth set during that fixture.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rei Sakamoto and Frances Tiafoe in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rei Sakamoto' if Rei Sakamoto advances against Frances Tiafoe. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Rei Sakamoto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official match conclusion, and the platform will update the market accordingly. Traders should monitor reputable sports news sources for confirmed results, as the market settles automatically once the match is officially over and the winner is announced.
Injuries, weather delays, or changes in player form could shift this market as the event approaches. Media coverage, pre-match betting trends, and analyst predictions may also influence trader sentiment. Any update affecting the perceived likelihood of each player winning — whether from practice sessions, head-to-head history, or tournament conditions — can cause rapid price swings. Keeping an eye on official tournament announcements and player updates is key to anticipating moves in this market.