TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien
polymarket
kalshi
limitless
opinion

US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien

Volume:
$3,407,841

Learner Tien

 - Kalshi

Learner Tien - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 1, 2026

Closed: Aug 31, 8:41 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Learner Tien

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,023,486
N/A
N/A
$1,392,431
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set Handicap +/-1.5

100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,679
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set Handicap +/-2.5

100%
73%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$360
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Game Spread +/-3.5

100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nuno Borges

0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$954,479
N/A
N/A
$542,043
Settled
No
polymarket

US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$411,710
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.8¢
N/A
$524
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Match O/U 38.5

0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,003
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 3.5

0%
63%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$627
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Match O/U 36.5

0%
57%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$497
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 1 Winner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
3¢
N/A
$345
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 4.5

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$121
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.5

100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 8.5

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 2 Winner

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 9.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 9.5

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 3 Winner

0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 10.5

0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 10.5

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Match O/U 40.5

0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 4 Winner

50%
49%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 3 O/U 8.5

0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 30

Intro

This market tracks the set handicap outcome between Learner Tien and Nuno Borges at the US Open ATP tennis tournament, where Tien is favored at -1.5 games. The aggregated consensus probability for Tien (-1.5) stands at 100.0%, drawing data from Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, and Opinion, with resolution based on the official ATP Tour scoring page. The second outcome, Borges vs. Tien match over/under 38.5 games, holds a probability of 0.4%. Watch for the match scheduled for August 30, 2026, as this will determine the resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms agree on using the official ATP Tour scoring page as the resolution source and share consistent rules for match completion, cancellations, walkovers, and retirements.Primary resolution logic: Official ATP Tour scoring page

Core resolution logic:

  • The match must be officially completed per ATP rules to resolve most markets
  • Cancellations before play begins or unresolved matches beyond September 13 resolve as 50-50 or No
  • Walkovers and retirements have specific resolution conditions depending on market type
  • Over/under markets use completed games sets as defined by official statistics

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Walkover: If a player withdraws before the match starts, markets resolve as 50-50 unless specified otherwise
  • Retirement: If a player retires during the match, the opposing player is considered the winner for winner markets
  • Match Not Completed: Markets resolve as 50-50 or No if the match is not completed by September 13, 2026, unless otherwise specified
Timing: Resolution occurs when official ATP Tour statistics are published post-match completion or at September 13, 2026 for unresolved matchesOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Nuno Borges and Learner Tien in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nuno Borges' if Nuno Borges advances against Learner Tien. This market will resolve to 'Learner Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Nuno Borges. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Nuno Borges wins the Borges vs Tien professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. If Learner Tien wins the Borges vs Tien professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Limitless

This market refers to the tennis match between Nuno Borges and Learner Tien in the ATP US Open, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 15:00 UTC. This market will resolve to 'Nuno Borges' if Nuno Borges advances against Learner Tien. This market will resolve to 'Learner Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Nuno Borges. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

Opinion

In the upcoming ATP singles match scheduled for 2026-08-31 22:50 UTC: if Nuno Borges wins the match, this market resolves to "Nuno Borges"; if Learner Tien wins, it resolves to "Learner Tien". The winner is the first player to claim the required number of sets under the match's official best-of format. If the match begins but is not completed, a retirement or default counts the opposing player as the winner. If a walkover is declared before the first point is played, the match is outright canceled, or it is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. Suspensions caused by weather, fading light, or other tournament-imposed delays do not close this market — it stays open until the match is officially completed, provided it concludes within the 7-day window mentioned above. Resolution Source: The official ATP Tour scoring page. Note: This market will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the US Open ATP Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien match market aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how traders price the chances of each player winning. It displays total volume of $3,407,841 and 24-hour volume of $3,343,821, letting you see where consensus lies and how sentiment shifts over time across venues.