TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 1:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Jakub Mensik will win his match against Learner Tien in the US Open ATP tournament. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to the outcome of “US Open ATP: Completed Match: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien”. The resolution source for this market is the official ATP Tour website at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the originally scheduled match time of September 5, 2026 at 11:00AM ET, as this is when the outcome will become clear and the market will resolve.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Mensik and Learner Tien in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Mensik' if Jakub Mensik advances against Learner Tien. This market will resolve to 'Learner Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Jakub Mensik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a completed match. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds continually adjust to incorporate new information and changing perspectives on the Mensik vs Tien match. The current price reflects the aggregate assessment of all traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether the ATP US Open match between Jakub Mensik and Learner Tien is officially completed, according to official tournament results. The platform will verify the outcome against established sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute funds accordingly. Traders should monitor official tournament updates as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about the event's progress and potential impacts on this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected developments during the US Open tournament could significantly shift probabilities. Live updates during the match itself, such as a player gaining a substantial lead or facing a setback, will likely cause rapid price adjustments. Furthermore, broader shifts in public sentiment or the emergence of new analytical insights could also contribute to movement in the market for the Mensik vs Tien match. Monitoring these signals is crucial for informed trading.