TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 11:47 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the total number of sets played in the ATP match between Jaime Faria and Carlos Alcaraz at the US Open will be over 3.5 sets. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Jaime Faria vs. Carlos Alcaraz: Total Sets O/U 3.5”. The resolution source for this market is the official ATP Tour website at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the originally scheduled match time of September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET, as this is when the event will begin and the outcome will become clear.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jaime Faria and Carlos Alcaraz in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jaime Faria' if Jaime Faria advances against Carlos Alcaraz. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Jaime Faria. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds can diverge significantly because they incorporate real-time trader positioning and volume dynamics. Sportsbook odds are set by professional oddsmakers who factor in broader market data and risk management. The difference often shows where retail trader confidence lies compared to institutional lines. For this market, the current implied probability may appear more or less favorable than sportsbook pricing, depending on recent performance trends and betting patterns. Monitoring both can give you a sense of potential value shifts before Sep 9, 2026.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official match conclusion, and once the winner is declared by tournament officials and reported widely, the market settles accordingly. Timing aligns closely with the match schedule, ensuring participants can track progress and anticipate resolution as the event unfolds.
Several key developments could impact this market as we approach Sep 9, 2026. Player form in the lead-up tournaments, injury updates, and recent head-to-head performances will be closely watched by traders on Polymarket. Any change in seeding or draw alterations following other tournament results may also shift expectations. Media interviews or coaching comments suggesting strategy changes could influence sentiment. Weather conditions at the US Open site and any last-minute withdrawals from the field might cause rapid adjustments. Keep an eye on trading volume spikes, as they often reflect new information being priced in.