TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton
polymarket
limitless

What is the result of Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton?

Volume:
$2,417,821

US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton Set Handicap +/-1.5

 - Polymarket

US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton Set Handicap +/-1.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 12, 2026

Closed: Sep 11, 11:31 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$228,689
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton Game Spread +/-4.5

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$98,977
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton Total Sets: O/U 3.5

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$58,852
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton Set 1 Winner

View
100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$22,863
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton Match O/U 38.5

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,405
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$990
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton Match O/U 36.5

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$813
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton Set 3 O/U 8.5

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$183
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton Set 4 O/U 10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
18¢
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,956,845
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$1,346
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton Set Handicap +/-2.5

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,965
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton Match O/U 40.5

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,518
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton Set 3 Winner

View
0%
56%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,515
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton Total Sets: O/U 4.5

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,167
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton Set 2 Winner

View
0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,439
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton Set 4 Winner

View
0%
67%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,979
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$237
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton Set 3 O/U 9.5

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton Set 3 O/U 10.5

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 27

Intro

This market tracks whether Frances Tiafoe or Ben Shelton will advance in their US Open ATP match, resolving to the player who wins or progresses due to opponent retirement, default, or disqualification. Currently, the consensus probability of US Open ATP: Completed Match: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton is 100.0%. This aggregation combines data from Polymarket and Limitless, with resolution based on Official ATP Tour statistics and credible reporting. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the market will resolve to the outcome determined by the official results following the scheduled date of September 18, 2026, which marks the end of the betting period.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms share identical resolution criteria regarding match completion, retirement, default, disqualification, cancellation, and walkovers.Primary resolution logic: Official ATP Tour statistics and credible reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to Frances Tiafoe if he advances in the match.
  • The market resolves to Ben Shelton if he advances in the match.
  • If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is not completed within 14 days of the scheduled date, the market resolves to 50-50.
  • If a player advances due to opponent retirement, default, or disqualification, the advancing player wins.
  • A walkover results in a 50-50 resolution.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Delay: If the match is delayed beyond 7 days (limitless) or 14 days (polymarket) from the scheduled date without a winner, the market resolves to 50-50.
  • Incomplete Match: If the match begins but is not completed, resolution depends on advancement due to retirement, default, or disqualification. Otherwise, it's a 50-50 split if the delay exceeds the timeframe.
Timing: Resolution will occur upon official confirmation of the match result by the ATP Tour, or within 2 hours of event conclusion if official statistics are unavailable, utilizing credible reporting as a secondary source.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Frances Tiafoe and Ben Shelton in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Ben Shelton. This market will resolve to 'Ben Shelton' if Ben Shelton advances against Frances Tiafoe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Limitless

This market refers to the tennis match between Frances Tiafoe and Ben Shelton in the ATP US Open, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 15:00 UTC. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Ben Shelton. This market will resolve to 'Ben Shelton' if Ben Shelton advances against Frances Tiafoe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates forecasts for the Tiafoe vs Shelton match from multiple prediction markets, including Polymarket and Limitless. It displays a consensus view of probabilities, combining volume and price data to show where the crowd believes the outcome will land. Currently, the total volume across these platforms is $2,417,821, with $2,313,544 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a comprehensive overview of market sentiment, going beyond any single platform's perspective on who will win this exciting US Open contest.

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to profit by setting lines that attract balanced betting, while prediction market participants are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets incorporating a wider range of information and potentially offering more accurate probabilities. For this market, the collective wisdom of crowds on Polymarket and Limitless may provide a different assessment than conventional sportsbooks, reflecting factors like player form, recent news, and even subtle signals missed by oddsmakers. The current volume of $2,417,821 suggests significant interest in this contest.