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406,422

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VS.

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US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata
kalshi
polymarket
limitless

US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata

Volume:
$5,076,824

Felix Auger-Aliassime

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 1, 2026

Closed: Aug 31, 11:25 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Felix Auger-Aliassime

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$2,051,157
N/A
N/A
$1,086,849
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$125,227
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,640
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Total Sets: O/U 3.5

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$668
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata: 4 or more total sets?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
99.8¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 Winner

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
13¢
N/A
$264
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$138
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set 3 Winner

View
100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Match O/U 36.5

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Rinky Hijikata

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$2,842,454
N/A
N/A
$1,351,710
Settled
No
polymarket

US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set Handicap +/-2.5

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$52,405
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Game Spread +/-6.5

View
0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,546
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Total Sets: O/U 4.5

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set 2 Winner

View
0%
76%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Match O/U 38.5

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set 4 Winner

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Match O/U 40.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set 3 O/U 8.5

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set 3 O/U 9.5

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 29

Intro

This market tracks the set handicap outcome for the US Open ATP tennis match between Felix Auger-Aliassime and Rinky Hijikata, specifically whether Auger-Aliassime will win by more than 2.5 sets or Hijikata will keep the match within 2.5 sets. The aggregated consensus probability for Auger-Aliassime (-2.5) stands at 10.0% across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Limitless, with resolution based on official Grand Slam match statistics from the US Open. The key catalyst to watch will be the match scheduled for August 30, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use official Grand Slam statistics for resolution, with consistent handling of incomplete matches, retirements, and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official Grand Slam match statistics from the US Open

Core resolution logic:

  • Match must be completed per ATP/US Open rules to resolve most markets
  • Incomplete matches or cancellations result in 50-50 for affected markets unless outcome is unconditionally determined
  • Retirements and walkovers resolve based on the player who advances
  • Tiebreaks count as one game toward totals

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match not completed by September 13, 2026: All markets resolve 50-50 unless outcome is unconditionally determined by completed play
  • Player retirement or default: Markets resolve based on the player who advances, except where specified otherwise
  • Walkover before match start: Markets resolve 50-50
Timing: Resolution occurs when official Grand Slam statistics are published post-match, with a deadline of September 13, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Felix Auger-Aliassime and Rinky Hijikata in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Felix Auger-Aliassime' if Felix Auger-Aliassime advances against Rinky Hijikata. This market will resolve to 'Rinky Hijikata' if Rinky Hijikata advances against Felix Auger-Aliassime. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Felix Auger-Aliassime wins the Auger-Aliassime vs Hijikata professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rinky Hijikata wins the Auger-Aliassime vs Hijikata professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Limitless

This market refers to the tennis match between Felix Auger-Aliassime and Rinky Hijikata in the ATP US Open, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 15:00 UTC. This market will resolve to "YES" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 4. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set for total set markets. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Auger-Aliassime vs Hijikata US Open match market aggregates activity across multiple venues, showing real-time consensus and volume. It tracks how Polymarket and Kalshi price this market, with total volume at $5,076,824 and 24-hour volume at $5,001,095. The view updates continuously, letting participants see where trader sentiment sits ahead of the match.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through decentralized trader activity, while Kalshi uses its own liquidity pool and participant base. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. This often creates price gaps, especially for events with uneven information flow or regional interest. Currently, Polymarket and Kalshi show different leading outcomes, which can amplify the divergence until consensus forms closer to the match.