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$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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Kalshi:

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US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng
polymarket
limitless

US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng

Volume:
$469,575

US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set Handicap +/-2.5

 - Polymarket

US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set Handicap +/-2.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 2, 2026

Closed: Sep 2, 6:39 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set Handicap +/-2.5

View
100%
80%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,050
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set Handicap +/-1.5

100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$47
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Game Spread +/-1.5

100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng

0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$458,361
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Total Sets: O/U 3.5

0%
68%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,685
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Match O/U 38.5

0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,622
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 1 Winner

0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,231
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Match O/U 36.5

0%
65%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$333
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng: 37 or more total games?

N/A
N/A
1.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 2 Winner

0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$140
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 2 O/U 8.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 1 O/U 8.5

100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 2 O/U 9.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 3 Winner

0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Total Sets: O/U 4.5

0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 1 O/U 9.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 2 O/U 10.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 4 Winner

50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 1 O/U 10.5

0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Match O/U 40.5

0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 3 O/U 8.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 3 O/U 9.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 3 O/U 10.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 4 O/U 8.5

50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 27

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of over/under 9.5 games in Set 4 of the US Open ATP match between Fabian Marozsan and Michael Zheng, scheduled for August 30, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of “Marozsan vs. Zheng: Set 4 Games O/U 9.5” is 100.0%. This aggregate reflects predictions from Polymarket and Limitless, and will resolve based on Official Grand Slam match statistics. Keep an eye on the match itself as it progresses, with resolution dependent on official statistics reported after the conclusion of play on September 6, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across Polymarket and Limitless use the same core resolution framework based on official Grand Slam statistics, with consistent handling of cancellations, retirements, and partial completions.Primary resolution logic: Official Grand Slam match statistics

Core resolution logic:

  • Match must be completed through normal play to determine most market outcomes
  • Retirements, defaults, disqualifications, walkovers, and cancellations before completion generally result in 50-50 resolution
  • Markets that can be determined from completed portions of play (e.g., set winners when the set is completed) resolve based on those completed portions
  • All tiebreaks count as one game toward total game counts

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Partial Set Completion: If a set begins but is not completed, markets dependent on that set resolve 50-50 unless the outcome would have been guaranteed had the set been played to completion
  • Match Abandonment: If the match is canceled or not completed by the deadline (September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET for Polymarket; 7 days from scheduled date for Limitless), most markets resolve 50-50
  • Walkover: If a player withdraws before the match starts, resulting in an automatic advance for the other player, markets resolve 50-50
Timing: Resolution occurs when official Grand Slam match statistics are published, or by the specified deadline if the match is not completedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Fabian Marozsan and Michael Zheng in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fabian Marozsan' if Fabian Marozsan advances against Michael Zheng. This market will resolve to 'Michael Zheng' if Michael Zheng advances against Fabian Marozsan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Limitless

This market refers to the tennis match between Fabian Marozsan and Michael Zheng in the ATP US Open, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 15:00 UTC. This market will resolve to "YES" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 37. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Marozsan vs Zheng US Open match market aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how traders price the chances of different outcomes. It displays total volume of $469,575 and 24-hour volume of $365,885, letting users see where consensus lies across platforms. The view updates continuously, reflecting shifts in sentiment as the tournament unfolds.

On Polymarket, this market reflects trader sentiment through dynamic pricing, often showing sharper movements than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction markets can price in nuances like player form and weather impacts faster, while sportsbooks may smooth probabilities for broader appeal. The gap between the two can widen if Polymarket traders have access to sharper analytics or real-time data feeds. However, sportsbooks incorporate risk management and overhead, which can temper their odds. For the Marozsan vs Zheng US Open match market, this means prediction markets may appear more volatile but can also offer earlier signals of shifting expectations.

On Polymarket and Limitless, pricing mechanisms and user bases create natural divergence. Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For this market, Polymarket may attract traders focused on tennis analytics, pricing in detailed stats like recent performance and head-to-head history. Meanwhile, Limitless could have a broader user base less tuned to tennis specifics, leading to more generalized bets. Liquidity differences also play a role — deeper pools on one platform can stabilize prices, while thinner markets elsewhere may see wider swings. These factors combined mean the two platforms can temporarily favor different outcomes.

Key updates like player injuries, weather delays, or sudden form shifts could dramatically move this market. As the tournament progresses, each round result — especially any upsets involving Marozsan or Zheng — will reshape expectations. Media interviews revealing strategy changes or fitness concerns can also shift trader sentiment. Even minor events, such as a coach change or a high-profile betting surge on one platform, may create momentum that ripples across Polymarket and Limitless, making real-time monitoring essential for anyone tracking the Marozsan vs Zheng US Open match market.