TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 4:51 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Hugo Gaston in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Hugo Gaston. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Gaston' if Hugo Gaston advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Hugo Gaston in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Hugo Gaston. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Gaston' if Hugo Gaston advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On sportsbooks, you’ll typically see a narrower spread and more conservative lines for the US Open Medvedev vs Gaston match market, reflecting their risk models and lower liquidity. Prediction markets like Polymarket often show sharper, more volatile odds as traders react in real time to new data — think practice sessions, injury whispers, or weather shifts. This market’s current pricing can diverge noticeably from traditional books, especially when one player’s chances surge or dip within hours. The contrast highlights how decentralized betting pools capture micro-movements that sportsbooks may smooth out for stability.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and the platform will update the market accordingly based on publicly available tournament results.
Key signals that could shift this market include injury updates, weather delays, or changes in player performance leading up to the match. Media commentary, betting trends on Polymarket, and pre-match practice sessions may also influence trader sentiment. Any last-minute news affecting either player’s readiness or form can cause rapid price adjustments as the event nears.