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406,019

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US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff
polymarket
kalshi

US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff

Volume:
$1,216,094

Jan-Lennard Struff

 - Kalshi

Jan-Lennard Struff - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 2, 2026

Closed: Sep 1, 5:45 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jan-Lennard Struff

View
100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$422,542
N/A
N/A
$231,980
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Game Spread +/-3.5

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,607
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$99
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set Handicap +/-2.5

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$639,287
N/A
N/A
$292,173
Settled
No
polymarket

US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$144,189
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 1 Winner

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,625
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Total Sets: O/U 3.5

View
0%
63%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$852
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Match O/U 36.5

View
0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$793
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Match O/U 38.5

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 2 Winner

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 3 Winner

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Total Sets: O/U 4.5

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 4 Winner

View
50%
49%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Match O/U 40.5

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 3 O/U 8.5

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 3 O/U 9.5

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 3 O/U 10.5

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 28

Intro

This market tracks the completion of the US Open ATP tennis match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Jan-Lennard Struff, scheduled for August 30, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of the match being completed is 99.8%, as aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam statistics from the ATP Tour. Keep an eye on the match schedule as the tournament progresses, with the resolution date estimate being September 6, 2026, to allow for potential delays or rescheduling.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across platforms share consistent resolution criteria based on official Grand Slam statistics, with clear rules for incomplete or canceled matchesPrimary resolution logic: Official Grand Slam statistics

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve based on official Grand Slam match statistics from the ATP Tour
  • Markets with incomplete or canceled play resolve as 50-50 unless outcome was already unconditionally determined
  • Tiebreaks count as one game toward totals in relevant markets

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Cancellation: All markets resolve to 50-50 unless outcome was already unconditionally determined based on completed play
  • Incomplete Set: Markets depending on incomplete sets resolve to 50-50 unless outcome was already unconditionally determined
  • Walkover/Retirement: Match winner markets resolve to the advancing player, while completion-based markets resolve to 50-50 unless outcome was already determined
Timing: Resolution occurs by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after scheduled start), or immediately if outcome is unconditionally determined earlierOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Jan-Lennard Struff in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Camilo Ugo Carabelli' if Camilo Ugo Carabelli advances against Jan-Lennard Struff. This market will resolve to 'Jan-Lennard Struff' if Jan-Lennard Struff advances against Camilo Ugo Carabelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the winner of the Ugo Carabelli vs. Struff professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round of 128, provided that play has commenced. If the match does not occur before any ball is played—due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or other cancellation—the market will resolve to a fair price. If the match is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and will close after the rescheduled match concludes, provided this occurs within two weeks. The market is independent of any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.