TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 7:36 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the total games played in the ATP match between Benjamin Bonzi and Ignacio Buse will be over 40.5. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Bonzi vs. Buse: Match O/U 40.5”. Resolution will be based on the official score reported at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the match itself, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 11:00AM ET, as the outcome will be determined by the total games played during that fixture.
This market refers to the tennis match between Benjamin Bonzi and Ignacio Buse in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Bonzi' if Benjamin Bonzi advances against Ignacio Buse. This market will resolve to 'Ignacio Buse' if Ignacio Buse advances against Benjamin Bonzi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply the dynamics of each venue. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, as traders can react quickly to developments affecting the Bonzi vs Buse match.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Bonzi vs Buse match as reported by a recognized authority in professional tennis. The market will determine whether the match was completed, and if so, which player won. Traders will then be paid out based on the final outcome and their holdings in the corresponding shares. It's important to monitor news sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price action in this market before Sep 10, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment could cause traders to reassess their predictions. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tournament upsets, might also impact the market. Furthermore, major announcements related to the players’ form or strategy could lead to increased trading volume and price volatility. Keep an eye on tennis news and analysis for potential catalysts.