TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov
polymarket
limitless

What is the result of Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov?

Volume:
$1,378,813

US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 2:38 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,290,969
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov

View
100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
99.8¢
N/A
$322
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov Match O/U 38.5

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$22,397
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov Set 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$18,502
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov Match O/U 36.5

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$11,940
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,863
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov Total Sets: O/U 3.5

View
100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,716
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,202
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov Match O/U 40.5

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$3,497
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov Set 3 Winner

View
100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,486
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov Set 4 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$92
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov Set Handicap +/-2.5

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,024
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov Game Spread +/-6.5

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,329
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov Set 2 Winner

View
0%
68%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,094
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov Total Sets: O/U 4.5

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$363
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov Set 3 O/U 8.5

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov Set 3 O/U 9.5

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov Set 3 O/U 10.5

View
0%
79%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov Set 4 O/U 8.5

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
18¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 27

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of over 9.5 games being played in the third set of the ATP US Open match between Ben Shelton and Denis Shapovalov. Currently, the consensus probability of this outcome occurring is 18.9%. This aggregate view combines data from Polymarket and Limitless, and will resolve based on official ATP Tour and Grand Slam statistics. The markets are scheduled for September 4, and resolution will occur based on the official match results; keep an eye on the match progress as it unfolds on September 4th to see if a third set is even played.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms share consistent resolution criteria regarding match completion, cancellation, retirement, and tiebreak scoring.Primary resolution logic: Official ATP Tour and Grand Slam statistics

Core resolution logic:

  • The primary resolution source is official ATP Tour and Grand Slam statistics.
  • If the match is canceled or not completed by September 18, 2026, the market resolves to 50-50.
  • Retirement, default, or disqualification results in resolution for the advancing player.
  • Tiebreaks count as one game/set for resolution purposes.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Walkover: If a walkover occurs, the market resolves to 50-50.
  • Determined Outcome: For Over/Under markets, if an outcome is guaranteed even if the match doesn't complete, that outcome resolves.
Timing: Resolution occurs upon official publication of match statistics by the ATP Tour or Grand Slam organizers, or no later than September 18, 2026, if the match is not completed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Ben Shelton and Denis Shapovalov in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ben Shelton' if Ben Shelton advances against Denis Shapovalov. This market will resolve to 'Denis Shapovalov' if Denis Shapovalov advances against Ben Shelton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Limitless

This market refers to the tennis match between Ben Shelton and Denis Shapovalov in the ATP US Open, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 15:00 UTC. This market will resolve to 'Ben Shelton' if Ben Shelton advances against Denis Shapovalov. This market will resolve to 'Denis Shapovalov' if Denis Shapovalov advances against Ben Shelton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates forecasts for the Shelton vs Shapovalov match from multiple prediction markets, including Polymarket and Limitless. It displays a consensus view of probabilities based on current trading volume, which currently totals $1,378,813. The dashboard allows you to compare how different platforms are pricing the outcome of this match and see the 24-hour trading volume of $1,370,405. By combining data from these sources, we provide a more comprehensive picture of expectations than any single market offers.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market is driven by individuals betting on their beliefs about the actual outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment differs from expert analysis. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on player rankings and statistics, the prediction market can quickly adjust based on new information or shifts in sentiment surrounding the Shelton vs Shapovalov match.