TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 12:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Alexander Zverev will win his match against Luciano Darderi in the US Open ATP tournament. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to the outcome of “US Open ATP: Completed Match: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi.” Resolution will be based on the official scores reported at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the originally scheduled match date of September 7, 2026 at 11:00AM ET, as that is when the event will begin and the outcome will become clear.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Luciano Darderi in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Luciano Darderi. This market will resolve to 'Luciano Darderi' if Luciano Darderi advances against Alexander Zverev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to represent the true probability of an event occurring, though discrepancies can exist due to differing information or risk assessments. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect the likelihood of an outcome, especially as more information becomes available and trading volume increases.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Zverev vs Darderi match as reported by the official ATP tour website. The market will determine which player won the match, and the outcome will be settled based on this official result. The final price of shares will reflect the winning outcome, with shares in the winning player paying out.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player fitness, such as an injury to either Zverev or Darderi, would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Updates on playing conditions, like court surface changes or weather forecasts, could also impact the market. Furthermore, any significant performance updates from either player in preceding matches, or changes in expert analysis, could drive traders to adjust their positions, leading to price fluctuations. Unexpected announcements related to the tournament itself could also move this market.