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US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi
polymarket
kalshi
limitless

US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi

Volume:
$1,142,444

Benjamin Bonzi

 - Kalshi

Benjamin Bonzi - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 2, 2026

Closed: Sep 2, 2:55 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Benjamin Bonzi

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$411,574
N/A
N/A
$153,102
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,920
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,245
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Total Sets: O/U 3.5

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
2¢
N/A
$131
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Game Spread +/-5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alex Molcan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$443,375
N/A
N/A
$262,554
Settled
No
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi

View
0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$278,595
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Match O/U 36.5

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$269
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi: 37 or more total games?

View
N/A
N/A
99.8¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 Winner

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$174
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Match O/U 38.5

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$95
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 3 Winner

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Match O/U 40.5

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 2 Winner

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Total Sets: O/U 4.5

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set Handicap +/-2.5

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 4 Winner

View
0%
100%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 3 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 3 O/U 9.5

View
0%
100%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 29

Intro

This market tracks whether the ATP match between Alex Molcan and Benjamin Bonzi at the US Open will be completed. Currently, the consensus probability of a completed match is 100.0%. This forecast aggregates data from Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless, and will resolve based on Official Grand Slam statistics. The markets cover various outcomes related to the match, including the winner, total games, and set winners. Keep an eye on the scheduled match date of August 30, 2026, as completion or cancellation will directly impact resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across platforms share consistent resolution logic, relying on official Grand Slam statistics and applying uniform rules for incomplete or canceled matches.Primary resolution logic: Official Grand Slam statistics

Core resolution logic:

  • Match outcomes resolve based on the player who wins the match, with tiebreaks counting as one game.
  • Total games markets resolve based on the total number of games played, including tiebreaks.
  • Set-specific markets resolve based on the winner or game count of each set, with incomplete sets resolving as 50-50 unless the outcome is already determined.
  • Markets for sets not reached or matches canceled before play resolve as 50-50.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match not completed: If the match begins but is not completed, markets resolve 50-50 unless the outcome is already unconditionally determined based on completed play.
  • Match canceled: If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond the specified timeframe without a result, markets resolve 50-50 unless the outcome is already determined.
  • Walkover or retirement: If a player withdraws before the match starts (walkover) or during play (retirement), markets resolve based on the player who advances, unless specified otherwise.
Timing: Resolution occurs by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or when official Grand Slam statistics are published, whichever comes first.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Molcan and Benjamin Bonzi in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Molcan' if Alex Molcan advances against Benjamin Bonzi. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Bonzi' if Benjamin Bonzi advances against Alex Molcan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the winner of the Molcan vs Bonzi professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128, provided that play has commenced. If the match does not occur before any ball is played—due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or other cancellation—the market resolves to a fair price. Postponements or delays do not immediately close the market; it remains open and settles after the rescheduled match concludes, with a two-week window for final resolution. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Limitless

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Molcan and Benjamin Bonzi in the ATP US Open, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 15:00 UTC. This market will resolve to "YES" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 37. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Molcan vs Bonzi US Open match market aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how traders price the likelihood of each outcome. It displays total volume of $1,142,444 and 24-hour volume of $1,004,870, letting you see where interest is concentrated across Polymarket and Kalshi. This gives a consensus view of market sentiment as the tournament unfolds.