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US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar
polymarket

What is the result of Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar?

Volume:
$1,107,221

US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

 - Polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

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Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 9:17 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,058,510
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set Handicap +/-1.5

100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,987
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set Handicap +/-2.5

100%
78%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,391
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 Winner

100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,422
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,380
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 2 Winner

100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,317
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 3 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$1,204
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Game Spread +/-3.5

100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$971
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Total Sets: O/U 3.5

0%
65%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,812
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Match O/U 38.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,541
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Match O/U 36.5

0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,162
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Total Sets: O/U 4.5

0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$439
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Match O/U 40.5

0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$85
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 O/U 8.5

100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 2 O/U 8.5

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 O/U 9.5

100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 2 O/U 9.5

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 4 Winner

50%
49%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 O/U 10.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 2 O/U 10.5

0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 3 O/U 8.5

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 3 O/U 9.5

0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 3 O/U 10.5

0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 4 O/U 8.5

50%
49%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 4 O/U 9.5

50%
49%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 26

Intro

This market tracks whether there will be over or under 8.5 games played in the fourth set of the Alex Michelsen versus Daniel Merida Aguilar match at the US Open ATP tournament. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Michelsen vs. Aguilar: Set 4 Games O/U 8.5”. The resolution source for this market is the official ATP Tour website at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the match itself, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET, as the outcome will depend on the actual number of games played in the fourth set.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Daniel Merida Aguilar in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Michelsen' if Alex Michelsen advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Alex Michelsen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Michelsen vs Merida Aguilar match tracks the current odds of each outcome, along with a price history chart showing how those odds have changed over time. You can also see the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $1,105,287. The total volume traded on this market is $1,107,080. This information provides a real-time view of how PredictionHero users are assessing the likelihood of each player winning this match.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell, representing their collective belief about the outcome. If there's a significant discrepancy, it might indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that one venue has more informed traders. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities than traditional odds, especially as the event approaches.

This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the US Open ATP match between Alex Michelsen and Daniel Merida Aguilar. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tournament upsets, might also cause the market to react. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed participants could also drive price movements, reflecting new information or a change in overall market perception. Keep an eye on tennis news and analysis leading up to the match.