TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 1:15 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between US Mondorf-les-Bains and SK Dinamo Tbilisi, scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 1:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "US Mondorf-les-Bains" if US Mondorf-les-Bains score more goals than SK Dinamo Tbilisi in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if US Mondorf-les-Bains and SK Dinamo Tbilisi score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SK Dinamo Tbilisi" if SK Dinamo Tbilisi score more goals than US Mondorf-les-Bains in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between US Mondorf-les-Bains and SK Dinamo Tbilisi, scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 1:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "US Mondorf-les-Bains" if US Mondorf-les-Bains score more goals than SK Dinamo Tbilisi in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if US Mondorf-les-Bains and SK Dinamo Tbilisi score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SK Dinamo Tbilisi" if SK Dinamo Tbilisi score more goals than US Mondorf-les-Bains in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders risking real capital on their beliefs about the outcome. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper, more efficient pricing because participants have direct financial skin in the game. However, sportsbooks may occasionally price certain outcomes more accurately due to their professional oddsmaking expertise and access to specialized data. Comparing the two can reveal valuable insights into how different groups assess the likelihood of the second half result.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker mechanism where buying and selling shares directly moves the price. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome—draw, home win, or away win—is represented as a tradeable contract, and the current price reflects the collective belief of all active traders. As more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and the implied probability increases. The market remains open for trading until resolution, allowing prices to adjust continuously based on new information, team news, or betting patterns. This dynamic pricing model ensures that the odds you see represent real-time market consensus.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official final score reported by the match authorities or recognized sports data providers. Whether the second half ends in a draw, a home victory, or an away victory will settle the corresponding shares. Traders holding the correct outcome receive their payout once the event is confirmed and the market is officially closed. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the match ending.
Several factors can shift the odds before this market closes. Team news—such as injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff—often triggers sharp price movements. Early match momentum and goals scored in the first half can significantly influence trader expectations for the second-half outcome. Weather conditions, referee assignments, or last-minute tactical adjustments may also influence sentiment. Social media discussion, expert analysis, or unexpected developments in either team's form can drive trading activity. As the match progresses and the first half unfolds, traders will adjust their positions based on how the game is playing out, causing the implied probabilities to shift in real time.