TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Reg Time: Cremonese
all
3 markets
Kalshi
Limitless
Polymarket
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 6, 2026
Closed: Sep 1, 2:00 PM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks the probability of Over 0.5 goals being scored in the 2nd half of the US Cremonese versus Calcio Padova Serie B match. Currently, the consensus probability of US Cremonese vs. Calcio Padova: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 is 98.0%. This aggregate reflects predictions from Limitless, Polymarket, and Kalshi, and will resolve based on official statistics from legaserieb.it, with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, or credible reporting. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for September 6, 2026, as the final score will determine the outcome of this market.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All markets across platforms resolve based on the same core criteria: official final score from legaserieb.it for the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with fallback sources and exclusion of extra time/penalties.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics from legaserieb.it, with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, or credible reportingCore resolution logic:
- Markets resolve based on the official final score published on legaserieb.it
- Only the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time counts; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded
- If legaserieb.it does not publish within 2 hours, use Flashscore, then Sofascore, then credible reporting
- Revisions to scores after market resolution are ignored
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Postponement: Markets remain open until the game is completed; if canceled with no make-up, resolve 50-50 for spread/total markets and based on official result for win/draw markets
- Incomplete Game: Resolves according to the official final score published post-game, not based on partial results
Polymarket
More markets for the Serie B game, scheduled for September 6 at 1:30 PM ET.
Kalshi
The market resolves based on the result of the Parma Calcio vs Cremonese professional Coppa Italia soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 1, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Parma Calcio wins, the 'Parma Calcio' market resolves to Yes. If Cremonese wins, the 'Cremonese' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away from the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Limitless
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for September 1, 2026, 16:00 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect trader sentiment and can adjust more dynamically. While sportsbooks set fixed lines, this market lets participants bet on precise probabilities, which can diverge based on trading volume and recent news. For example, a sharp move in trader confidence may push implied chances higher or lower than standard point spreads or moneylines.
On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary due to differences in user base, liquidity, and trading activity. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one platform might see heavier betting on a particular outcome, skewing its price. Additionally, each venue has its own fee structure and market design, which can influence how traders place bets and what odds they accept.
Injuries, weather updates, and tactical changes can all shift this market as the match nears. Key moments like starting lineups, recent form, or even shifts in betting volume on either platform may cause prices to adjust. Traders will also watch for any last-minute news — such as coaching decisions or pitch conditions — that could affect the teams' performance on game day.
