TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Serie A soccer match between US Cremonese and ACF Fiorentina scheduled for March 16, 2026. Three markets are offered across Polymarket and Kalshi, covering the three possible match outcomes: Fiorentina win, Cremonese win, and draw. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: match outcome determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations across all three outcome markets.
Primary resolution logic:
Lega Serie A official statistics (legaseriea.it); fallback to consensus of credible reporting if official statistics not published within 2 hours of match conclusionCore resolution logic:
- Market resolves based on match result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties)
- Fiorentina win market resolves Yes if Fiorentina wins, No otherwise
- Cremonese win market resolves Yes if Cremonese wins, No otherwise
- Draw market resolves Yes if match ends in a draw, No otherwise
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
- If match is canceled entirely with no make-up game: win markets (Fiorentina/Cremonese) resolve No, draw market resolves Yes
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on its rescheduled date
- Cancellation without make-up: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, Fiorentina win and Cremonese win markets resolve No, while the draw market resolves Yes
- Official statistics delay: If Lega Serie A does not publish official match statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution may use consensus of credible reporting sources
- Scope of play: Resolution considers only the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution scope
Timing:
Resolution occurs after match completion (90 minutes plus stoppage time) on March 16, 2026, with official statistics expected within 2 hours of match conclusionOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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