TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Empoli FC
Volume:
$166,178
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Serie B soccer match between US Catanzaro 1929 and Empoli FC scheduled for March 8, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi assess the outcome within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, covering win conditions for each team and draw scenarios.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation resolution logic differs between platforms. Polymarket's draw market resolves YES upon full cancellation, while Kalshi's structure implies NO resolution for all outcomes in a cancellation scenario.Hero Tip:
Monitor for any game postponement or cancellation announcements. If the match is canceled without a make-up game, Polymarket draw backers win while Kalshi participants face NO resolution across all three markets. Consider this asymmetry when allocating capital.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Catanzaro win, Empoli win, Draw). Draw market explicitly resolves YES if game is canceled entirely with no make-up. Win markets resolve NO on cancellation. Primary source: official statistics from governing body within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus thereafter.
- Kalshi: Three mutually exclusive outcome markets (Empoli wins, Tie, Catanzaro wins) covering the same 90+stoppage time window. No explicit cancellation clause provided; structure implies all three resolve NO if match does not occur. Implicit primary source: official match result.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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