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399,592
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Closed: Sep 5, 11:15 AM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers the second half result of the Serie B soccer match between US Catanzaro 1929 and Carrarese Calcio. The markets focus on determining which team scores more goals in the second half of regular play plus stoppage time, or if the second half ends in a draw.
In the upcoming Serie B game between US Catanzaro 1929 and Carrarese Calcio, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 11:15 AM ET: This market will resolve to "US Catanzaro 1929" if US Catanzaro 1929 score more goals than Carrarese Calcio in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if US Catanzaro 1929 and Carrarese Calcio score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Carrarese Calcio" if Carrarese Calcio score more goals than US Catanzaro 1929 in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics published by the governing body or event organizers. If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially published final statistics made after market resolution will not be considered in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50.
The event covers three possible outcomes of the Sudtirol Bolzano vs Catanzaro Serie B soccer match scheduled for September 5, 2026: a win for Sudtirol Bolzano, a win for Catanzaro, or a tie. Each market resolves based on the result after the full 90 minutes of regulation play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match ends in a tie after regulation, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The rules explicitly state that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds on this market often reflect sharper, more granular probabilities than traditional sportsbook lines, because they are driven by continuous trader activity rather than static bookmaker adjustments. The spread between the two can vary widely, especially for less liquid matches, with prediction markets sometimes pricing in subtler factors like recent form or tactical changes that sportsbooks may lag behind on.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. On Polymarket, traders price this market based on their unique risk models and user base behavior, often reacting quickly to news or shifts in betting volume. Kalshi may have a different user distribution or liquidity profile, which can cause its prices to move at a different pace or settle at different levels. These variations are normal and reflect how each platform's community interprets new information and allocates capital across outcomes.