TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.9b
24H VOL:
$163,854,306
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,185,829,855
506,570
Markets across
13,801
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,985
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
US Avellino 1912 vs. FC Südtirol - More Markets
Volume:
$192,564
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Serie B soccer match between US Avellino 1912 and FC Südtirol scheduled for March 18, 2026. Polymarket offers six distinct markets (Over/Under totals at 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5 goals; Both Teams to Score; and spread bets), while Kalshi provides a single catch-all market that resolves Yes for any outcome (Avellino win, tie, or Südtirol win).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides outcome-specific prediction markets with precise thresholds and conditional resolution logic, while Kalshi offers a tautological catch-all market that resolves Yes for any completed match result, rendering it non-predictive.Hero Tip:
Polymarket's six markets are genuine prediction instruments tied to specific match outcomes (goals, both teams scoring, margin of victory). Kalshi's market is a match-completion confirmation, not a prediction tool. Trade Polymarket for actual exposure; Kalshi will resolve Yes in nearly all scenarios.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Six granular markets with precise resolution thresholds: O/U 1.5 (2+ goals = Over), O/U 2.5 (3+ goals = Over), O/U 3.5 (4+ goals = Over), O/U 4.5 (5+ goals = Over), Both Teams to Score (Yes if each team scores >= 1), Spread FC Südtirol -1.5 (Südtirol wins by 2+), Spread FC Südtirol -2.5 (Südtirol wins by 3+), Spread US Avellino -1.5 (Avellino wins by 2+), Spread US Avellino -2.5 (Avellino wins by 3+). All reference legaserieb.it with 2-hour credible reporting fallback. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation resolves 50-50.
- Kalshi: Single market: 'If Avellino wins OR Tie OR Südtirol wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then resolves to Yes.' This is a tautology—any completed match result triggers Yes. No outcome-specific thresholds or conditional logic.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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