TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 21, 8:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the combined goal output from both Uruguay and Cape Verde during the second half of their FIFA World Cup match on June 21, 2026. Bettors predict whether the total goals scored by both teams will exceed various thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, or 3.5 goals).
Resolution is based on the total goals scored by both Uruguay and Cape Verde combined during the second half (45 minutes plus stoppage time) of their FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled for June 21, 2026. Only goals scored during the second half count toward this event. Each market outcome corresponds to a specific threshold: goals must exceed 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, or 3.5 to resolve affirmatively. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks from the original date, the event resolves to a fair price in accordance with established rules.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they reflect real-money stakes and continuous price discovery rather than static published estimates. While sports analysts may publish pre-match predictions based on team form and historical data, this market aggregates the collective judgment of traders who profit or lose based on accuracy. Over time, markets tend to incorporate breaking news—injuries, lineup changes, weather—faster than formal forecasts update, making them a dynamic alternative lens for assessing second-half goal expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different second-half goal total outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective willingness of buyers and sellers to trade at that level, with tighter spreads indicating higher confidence and liquidity. As new information emerges or trading volume shifts, prices adjust in real time, allowing you to enter or exit positions at market rates throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jun 22, 2026, once the Uruguay vs Cape Verde match concludes and the final second-half goal total is verified. The outcome is confirmed against credible public sources reporting the official match result. Until that point, prices may fluctuate based on live match developments, team performance, and trader sentiment, giving you opportunities to adjust your position as the event unfolds.
Key catalysts include team news such as injury announcements, lineup confirmations, or tactical shifts that affect offensive or defensive capability. Weather conditions on match day—wind, rain, or extreme heat—can influence goal-scoring pace and strategy. Early first-half performance often signals momentum and playing style, prompting traders to reassess second-half expectations. Betting market moves, social media sentiment shifts, and expert commentary can also trigger repricing as new information reaches traders, creating trading opportunities throughout the lead-up and during the match itself.