TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 21, 7:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether selected Uruguayan and Cape Verdean players record either a goal or an assist during their FIFA World Cup match on June 21, 2026. Players who are listed as active but do not enter the game will cause the market to settle at the last fair price before kickoff.
Each market within this event resolves based on whether a designated player records at least one goal or one assist during the entire Uruguay vs Cape Verde FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 21, 2026, including regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. Settlement occurs only once a player enters the game; if a player remains on the bench or inactive throughout, the market settles to the last fair market price established before the match begins. Goals and assists are counted cumulatively across all periods of play.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders themselves—creating a dynamic, supply-and-demand-driven rate. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper or more efficient pricing on niche outcomes because traders with genuine insight compete directly. However, sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news. Comparing both sources helps you identify value and understand how different venues assess the same event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers in real time. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the most recent trade or the current spread between the highest bid and lowest ask. As new information emerges—team news, injury reports, or betting action—traders adjust their positions, moving the odds up or down. This mechanism ensures prices adapt quickly to new signals and remain competitive throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jun 22, 2026, once the Uruguay vs Cape Verde match concludes and the outcome is verifiable from credible public sources. The result will be confirmed based on whether a goal or assist occurred as specified in the market terms. Resolution happens after the final whistle and any official review processes are complete, ensuring accuracy. Traders holding positions will see their outcomes settled once verification is finalized.
Several factors could shift odds in this market before Jun 22, 2026. Team news—such as injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical adjustments—often triggers sharp repricing. Betting action from sharp bettors or syndicates can move the line quickly. Pre-match analysis and expert commentary may influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions, venue factors, or late-breaking roster updates can also impact expectations around scoring. As the match approaches, real-time developments during warm-ups or early play will continue to shape market prices right up until kickoff.