TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 21, 7:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on goal-scoring performance during the Uruguay vs Cape Verde World Cup match on June 21, 2026. Individual markets track whether specific players reach various goal thresholds (1+, 2+, or 3+ goals). Players listed as active but not entering the game will settle at the pre-game fair market price.
Each market resolves based on whether a designated player achieves a specified minimum goal count during the entire Uruguay vs Cape Verde FIFA World Cup match on June 21, 2026, encompassing regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. Markets are structured with tiered thresholds for certain players, allowing bettors to distinguish between single-goal performances and multi-goal performances. Settlement is contingent upon the player entering the game; players who remain inactive throughout settle to the last fair market price before kickoff. Once a player enters play, resolution is determined solely by the total goals scored.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets aggregate distributed trader beliefs in real time. For this market, prediction odds may price goalscorer probabilities differently than traditional bookmakers, especially as new information emerges closer to kickoff. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book matching, where traders buy and sell contracts reflecting their belief in each player's likelihood of scoring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices move dynamically as new trades execute, with the bid-ask spread tightening or widening based on liquidity and conviction. Each goalscorer contract trades independently, allowing precise price discovery for individual attacking threats in the Uruguay versus Cape Verde encounter.
This market resolves around Jun 22, 2026, once the match concludes and goalscorer information is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by official match records confirming which players scored during regular and extra time. Traders holding contracts for players who netted will be settled at full value, while non-scorers resolve to zero. Early resolution may occur if the fixture is abandoned or postponed beyond the resolution window.
Team news and lineup announcements significantly influence this market, as injuries or absences to key forwards reshape scoring probabilities. Betting market activity and analyst predictions can also shift trader positioning ahead of kickoff. Recent form, head-to-head records, and tactical adjustments by either side may trigger repricing of individual player chances. Weather conditions and venue factors closer to match day can alter expected playing styles and attacking intensity, moving odds for prolific versus substitute-level scorers.