TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 21, 6:55 PM EST
Kalshi
A FIFA World Cup soccer match featuring Uruguay and Cape Verde on June 21, 2026, tracking total goals scored by both teams combined during the first half.
All markets refer to the Uruguay vs Cape Verde professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for June 21, 2026. Resolution is based on the combined total goals scored by both teams during the first half only. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Each outcome resolves to Yes if the combined first-half goal total exceeds its specified threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, or 3.5 goals).
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader conviction and often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts. While sports analysts may rely on historical goal-scoring rates and team form, prediction markets incorporate live information, betting patterns, and collective intelligence from thousands of participants. For this Uruguay vs Cape Verde first-half matchup, comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to expert predictions on goal totals can reveal where the market is pricing in upside or downside risk relative to consensus expectations.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the Uruguay vs Cape Verde first-half total is priced as a binary contract reflecting trader expectations of whether the goal count will fall above or below a specified threshold during the opening 45 minutes. Kalshi's order-book mechanism allows you to buy or sell shares at the current bid-ask spread, with prices ranging from 0 to 100 cents per share. As match conditions evolve and new information emerges, the contract price adjusts to reflect updated market probability.
The market resolves on Jun 22, 2026, following the conclusion of the first half in the Uruguay vs Cape Verde match. Resolution is determined by the official goal count recorded during the first 45 minutes of play. The specific threshold and outcome criteria are defined in the market terms; traders should review the full contract specification on Kalshi to understand exactly which result triggers each payout.
Several factors could shift market pricing for this first-half total before Jun 22, 2026. Team news—such as injury updates to key forwards or defensive players—can alter expected goal-scoring patterns. Pre-match analysis, weather conditions, and tactical adjustments announced closer to kickoff may influence trader positioning. Early match events, including goals, red cards, or missed chances during the opening minutes, will drive sharp repricing as live information becomes available. Betting syndicates and professional traders may also adjust positions based on injury reports or lineup confirmations.